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How the Price Is Set

What actually changed hands in a market with no published index, and where the number comes from

PDF · 5 pp. · 0.6 MB

What this document is

The second question about emission certificates is always "how much?". There is no published price index for transport insetting certificates, so that question has no answer — but where the price comes from, and what has actually changed hands, are visible in published material. Working from primary sources — a $200 million aviation contract and an inset programme running at a UK port — this report keeps the figures that were published strictly apart from the figures obtained by dividing them.

Who reads it

  • Shipper ESG and procurement
  • Carriers and logistics providers
  • Carbon consultancies
  • Finance and sourcing

What's inside

Each stage is broken into the work it takes, and every task carries a checklist you can lift as it stands.

  1. 01How the price is built

    • Why no published index exists — privately negotiated trades, goods that are not uniform
    • certificate = (low-emission fuel price - conventional fuel price) - government incentive
    • The same good, and coverage of production cost at 27% in the UK, 55% in Germany, 83% in Denmark

  2. 02What actually changed hands

    • Aviation SAFc — close to $200 million over five years, 500,000 tCO2e, 80% lower carbon intensity
    • 14 purchasing companies named, one of them Samsung Biologics
    • Port insets — from 50 kg to 250 kg CO2e per container, more than 250,000 TEU registered

  3. 03What to ask before the price

    • Which fuel · under which country's policy
    • Who issued it · who verified it
    • Is it on a registry, and is it retired

About this report

Not a translation. We read the primary sources ourselves and set out what they say. Quotations are short and carry their source and page number, and no figure appears that we could not confirm in the original.

Rights in the sources
Rights in the originals rest with their publishers.
Basis
This report is Logistics Tech Standard's analysis of the three sources below. It is not a translation.
What is not here
No market price for transport insetting certificates is given; the unit prices shown are stated in the text to be the result of dividing two published figures.
How we quote
Quotations are short and carry their source and page; no table or figure from a source has been reproduced. The companies and organisations cited have no contractual relationship with us.

Who wrote this report, and why

Logistics Tech Standard (LTS) works on the carbon standards used in freight. This is not a translation — we researched and wrote it. Putting an international standard to work on real freight runs into places the standard itself does not describe.

Only what we could confirm is here; where we could not confirm something, we say so. Every source is named in the text.

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